A voter drops his ballot for the 2020 US elections into an official ballot drop box at the Los Angeles County Registrar in Norwalk, California on October 19, 2020. - Voter turnout is ten times higher than in 2016 in California according the Secretary of State Alex Padilla as over 600,000 Los Angeles County ballots are already at the county registrar. (Photo by Frederic J. BROWN / AFP) (Photo by FREDERIC J. BROWN/AFP via Getty Images)

Amidst all the allegations of voter fraud, Americans are overwhelmingly confident in this year’s Presidential election. A PoliticalIQ poll found 73% of Likely Voters were either Very or Somewhat Confident in this year’s vote count, compared to 24% being Not Very or Not At All Confident.  The survey, conducted by Scott Rasmussen, found 3% to be unsure. The poll’s margin of error was 2.3%.

When broken down along party lines, both parties were confident in the vote count, although Democrats were decidedly more so. 81% of Democrats said they were Somewhat or Very Confident in the vote compared to 68% of Republicans. 

In terms of which candidate might refuse to accept the results of the election, Likely Voters were pretty clear. 61% said they were Very or Somewhat worried that President Trump would fail to accept the result and concede.  36% said the same of Former Vice President Joe Biden.

The PoliticalIQ poll also asked whether Hillary Clinton has accepted as legitimate the results of the 2016 election.  38% of respondents said no.  31% said yes and 31% were not sure.   As expected, the majority of Conservatives thought she hasn’t accepted the results while the majority of Liberals thoughts she has.  Moderates were more split, with 33% saying she hasn’t accepted the results, 29% saying she has, and 38% not sure.

PoliticalIQ will be releasing its second wave of results from Battleground States throughout this week, as well as more on the national outlook for Campaign 2020.


The survey of 1,842 Likely Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 23-24, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 203 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. The Likely Voter sample was derived from a larger sample of Registered Voters using screening questions and other factors. Certain quotas were applied to the larger sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.3 percentage points.

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