MORRISVILLE, NC - OCTOBER 18: North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper (L) greets Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden upon arrival at Raleigh-Durham International Airport on October 18, 2020 in Morrisville, North Carolina. Biden is headed to a campaign event at Riverside High School in Durham, North Carolina. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)

In North Carolina, incumbent Democrat Roy Cooper appears poised to run away with the Governor’s race.  The latest PolitialIQ poll shows Cooper with the support of 53% of Likely North Carolina Voters and Republican Dan Forest with the support of 41%.  The poll, conducted by Scott Rasmussen, shows 3% voting for someone else and 3% not sure.  The margin of error is 3.5%

Cooper’s position in the poll reflects his approval rating, as 58% of Likely Voters either Strongly or Somewhat approve of Cooper’s performance.  37% Strongly or Somewhat disapprove. 5% are not sure.

In 2016, Cooper beat Incumbent Republican Governor Pat McCrory in a nail biter.  On Election Night the race was too close to call and ended going to a recount. McCrory finally conceded in early December.  It was the only gubernatorial seat to flip from Republican to Democrat in 2016.

In the race for President, Former Vice President Joe Biden is leading President Trump by a single digit in North Carolina.  A Senate Seat is also up for grabs there.  We’ll have the latest on that race tomorrow morning.  In addition, will be releasing Wave 2 poll results from Battleground States up thru Election Day. In 2016, President Trump beat Hillary Clinton by 3% in North Carolina, and this year the state appears to be even more hotly contested.


The survey of 800 Likely North Carolina Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen from October 24-26, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were randomly selected from a list of Registered Voters and contacted via text or through a process of Random Digital Engagement. A total of 49 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. The Likely Voter sample was derived from a larger sample of Registered Voters using screening questions and other factors. Certain quotas were applied to the larger sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the state’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Thirty-five percent (35%) of the Likely Voters either identify as Republican or Lean Republican. Thirty-six percent (36%) either identify as a Democrat or Lean Democrat. Twenty-nine percent (29%) do not identify with either major party.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

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