Trump and Biden
(Photos by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images and by SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images; Collage by PoliticalIQ)

As Thanksgiving approaches, 59% of voters nationwide believe that former Vice President Joe Biden was the legitimate winner of Election 2020. However, a Political IQ survey found that 32% disagree and believe President Trump actually won.

Those numbers are little changed from a week ago. 

Overall, the results are reminiscent of the numbers from four years ago when roughly a third of the population believed that Hillary Clinton was the legitimate winner of the 2016 election. That “resistance” movement created ongoing problems for the Trump Administration. Barring a significant change of opinion, the Biden Administration may end up facing a similar challenge.

While just 59% believe Biden was the legitimate winner, 72% believe he will be declared the winner. Just 19% take the opposite view and expect a last minute Trump victory.

Data released earlier showed that, despite all the turmoil of recent weeks, the president’s job approval rating has remained steady. 


The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from November 19-21, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 249 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied to the larger sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.  Margin of sampling error: +/-2.8 percentage points

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