Forty-eight percent (48%) of Likely Voters in Georgia Favor the efforts of President Trump and his campaign to challenge the election results in Georgia and other states. A Political IQ survey found that 48% also oppose those challenges.
The totals include 36% who Strongly Favor the challenges and 39% who are Strongly Opposed.
Among those who voted for the president in November, 85% favor the challenge. Among those who voted for President-elect Biden, 86% are opposed.
The survey also found that 36% of Georgia voters believe Trump was the legitimate winner of the presidential election. Fifty-five percent (55%) believe Biden won legitimately.
Seventy-three percent (73%) of Trump voters believe he was the legitimate winner. However, 99% of Biden supporters think their candidate won fair and square.
The survey also found that 22% of Georgia voters still believe Trump will eventually be declared the winner. Trump voters are evenly decided on that question.
Data released earlier showed that Trump and Biden supporters appear equally likely to vote in the January 5 Senate run-off. As was the case in November, Democrats are more likely to vote early and Republicans more likely to vote in-person on Election Day.
Over the next few days, Political IQ will release additional data from the survey. That will include update information on the favorability ratings of the candidates, which party voters want to control the Senate,and the horse race. We are deliberately presenting the horse race results last because they are the least important part of the survey yet always garner the most attention.
This is consistent with an approach advocated by Scott Rasmussen to address the deep problems plaguing the election forecasting industry. He suggested that public pollsters should focus less on the horse race and “offer more data designed to help forecasters and politicians understand America.” He added that polls “should offer a voter-centric view of the race, measuring underlying attitudes more than attempting to define likely voters. We should certainly ask about the horse race, but never forget that elections are supposed to be more about the voters than the candidates.”
The survey of 1,417 Likely Voters in Georgia was conducted by Scott Rasmussen from December 8-14, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text. They were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Additionally, 74 of the respondents were contacted via automated phone polling techniques. For purposes of this survey, Likely Voters were defined as those who say they have voted, will definitely vote, or are very likely to vote. Certain other screening questions were used as well. Quotas were applied to a larger sample of 1,696 Registered Voters which was then lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the state’s population. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2.6 percentage points.