What are Ukraine’s chances of joining the EU?

What are Ukraine’s chances of joining the EU?

The European Commission will respond to Ukraine’s European Union membership bid next month, commission President Ursula von der Leyen said Monday, teeing up a key next step in Kyiv’s accession process. Here’s everything you need to know:
What does it take to become a member of the EU?
Quite a lot. Any country wishing to join the EU must successfully complete 35 accession “chapters” covering everything from “judicial independence to aligning foreign policy with the EU and deep economic and financial changes,” The Wall Street Journal wrote in March.
First, a country must submit an application to the Council of the European Union, one of the bloc’s legislative bodies. After taking into account the opinion of the European Commission — the EU’s executive body — the council can then decide to grant a country “candidate” status, but only if all 27 EU member states agree. 
Once that happens, the candidate country begins negotiating with the EU, “during which time it has to satisfy the EU’s membership criteria, known as the “‘Copenhagen Criteria,'” writes The Washington Post. These political, economic, and administrative criteria cover things like the stability of a candidate country’s democratic institutions, its economy, and its ability to take on the obligations of membership, according to the European Commission website.
Once the commission can verify that a candidate country has satisfied the necessary criteria, the council then, with the blessing of every EU member, closes negotiations. Next, the EU’s other legislative body — the European Parliament — gives its consent. Only if a candidate country manages to successfully clear all of these steps can it sign a treaty (which must also be signed and ratified by all 27 members) with the EU.
Von der Leyen said Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has officially submitted Ukraine’s application, meaning the commission’s recommendation comes next. 
How long does the EU accession process take?
In normal circumstances, the process can take years. In fact, it took Croatia — the most recent county to join — 10 years to make its bid official, though Austria, Finland, and Sweden made it happen much faster.
In Ukraine’s case, however, the European Council vowed to move “without delay” after Ukraine requested a quick process under “a new special procedure.” Initially, the bloc appeared to decline Kyiv’s request for fast-tracked membership. But in April, von der Leyen presented Zelensky with a membership questionnaire, noting that this step would not be “as usual, a matter of years, but rather a matter of weeks.”
Speaking later with CNN, von der Leyen again conceded the commuted timeline was abnormal but said it was important in this instance “to take unusual steps” because of the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine.
“This is normally a process over years, indeed. And, yesterday, we did an important step forward,” von der Leyen told CNN host Jake Tapper. “There’s a lot of hope in Ukraine that they — they belong to our European family, without any question. And, therefore, they are in an extraordinary situation, where we have to take unusual steps.”
What would Ukraine get out of membership?
Improved security, for one thing. An attack against one member of the EU is considered an attack against all 27, meaning that in allowing Ukraine to join, “the European Union would be committed to taking all necessary action to defend Ukraine against Russia’s unprovoked aggression,” the Post writes.
And joining the bloc comes with economic perks, as well. EU membership means access to the European Single Market — one of the world’s largest economies — as well as adoption of the euro, which would “would boost economic growth and facilitate post-war recovery” for Ukraine, the Post notes.
Becoming an EU member state would also make Ukrainians free to move throughout the bloc, with the right to study, work or retire in any EU country. The Treaty on the European Union also affords EU citizens and legal residents a number of other rights and protections, Forbes notes.
What other countries are hoping to join?
There are currently five candidate countries working to join the bloc, NPR reports: Albania, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Serbia, and perhaps most infamously, Turkey, which began accession negotiations in 2005. Kosovo and Bosnia and Herzegovina are currently classified as “potential candidates” since they do not yet meet membership criteria. 
Georgia and Moldova have meanwhile also formally applied to join, emboldened by the response Ukraine received.
But per the Journal, some EU member states have already turned up their noses at additional growth, concerned that the bloc is already too large to govern effectively. 
But what about trouble within?
The European Union began officially in 1993, though its origins can be traced back to an 1951 post-war agreement between Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Belgium, and Luxembourg. By 1995, the bloc comprised a total of 15 countries: the original six, plus Denmark, Ireland, the United Kingdom, Greece, Spain, Portugal, as well as new additions Austria, Finland, and Sweden.
By the early 2000s, the EU had welcomed 10 new members — Czechia, Cyprus, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Hungary, Malta, Poland, Slovenia, and Slovakia. The bloc now boasts Bulgaria, Croatia, and Romania among its ranks, as well. The United Kingdom left the EU in 2020 following the Brexit vote. 
Though the EU touts democracy as one of its many founding values, some have argued that the government of Hungary presents just as much of a threat to the bloc as Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine, as Yasmeen Serhan wrote for The Atlantic in April. Last month, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, an ally of Putin’s, won re-election yet again, meaning four more years of what scholars have called “a ‘soft’ or ‘competitive’ autocracy” in an EU member state, Serhan reports. And so long as the EU “continues to overlook, much less subsidize, autocracy within it,” Serhan adds, “the whole European project is at stake.”

Read more
EU Proposes Ban on Russian Oil Imports

EU Proposes Ban on Russian Oil Imports

This post was originally published on this siteThe European Union proposed a ban on Russian crude within six months and is set to impose sanctions on Russian military officials accused of war crimes.

Read more
Russia-Ukraine war: EU eyes sanctions on Russia’s oil and coal

Russia-Ukraine war: EU eyes sanctions on Russia’s oil and coal

This post was originally published on this siteRevelations of atrocities have added impetus to calls for further measures targeting Russian energy.

Read more
France’s Macron says he wants EU Russian oil and coal ban ‘this week’ after Bucha ‘war crimes’

France’s Macron says he wants EU Russian oil and coal ban ‘this week’ after Bucha ‘war crimes’

French President Emmanuel Macron on Monday said “his wish” is to see the European Union enact a total blockade on Russian oil and gas “this week” in response to Moscow’s “war crimes” in the Ukrainian town of Bucha, a Kyiv suburb. There are “very clear signs of war crimes” in Bucha, and “it’s pretty established that it’s the Russian army” that was responsible for the massacre of civilians in Bucha, Macron told French broadcaster France Inter. “We can’t let it slide.”
“It’s notable that Macron didn’t mention targeting Russian gas, which accounts for about 40 percent of the EU’s natural gas imports,” BBC News reports. 
Germany, which has been reliant on Russian gas imports, has been resistant to an energy blockade, even as it has supported other hard sanctions on Russia and even provided Ukraine arms. But German Defense Minister Christine Lambrecht said Sunday that the EU should at least discuss pulling the plug on Russian gas imports, one of Europe’s last major financial lifeline for Moscow. 
Lithuania, which was nearly 100 percent reliant on Russia for gas in 2015, said late Saturday that it has now cut itself off entirely. “Seeking full energy independence from Russian gas, in response to Russia’s energy blackmail in Europe and the war in Ukraine, Lithuania has completely abandoned Russian gas,” Lithuania’s energy ministry said. Lithuania started the weaning process in 2014, building its own liquefied natural gas import terminal in Klaipeda. 
“From this month on — no more Russian gas in Lithuania,” Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda tweeted Saturday. “Years ago, my country made decisions that today allow us with no pain to break energy ties with the aggressor. If we can do it, the rest of Europe can do it too!” Lithuania’s Baltic neighbors Latvia and Estonia also stopped importing Russian gas as of Saturday, though they are currently relying on gas reserves stored underground in Latvia, The Associated Press reports. 
Macron said he will bring up the Russian oil and coal ban and other sanctions with France’s European partners, “especially Germany, this week. “Those who are behind these crimes must answer for them,” he said. “We must send the signal very clear that it’s our collective dignity and it’s our values that we defend.”

Read more
EU signs US gas deal to curb reliance on Russia

EU signs US gas deal to curb reliance on Russia

This post was originally published on this siteEU signs liquefied natural gas deal with US in an attempt to reduce reliance on Russian energy.

Read more
Russia issues demands for Ukraine ahead of talks

Russia issues demands for Ukraine ahead of talks

Russia announced Monday ahead of a third round of peace talks that it will cease military operations “in a moment” if Ukraine agrees to meet a list of demands, Reuters reports.
Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said Ukraine must stop fighting, amend its constitution to guarantee neutrality, formally cede Crimea to Russia, and recognize the independence of the Russian-backed breakaway republics in eastern Ukraine.
If Ukraine enshrines neutrality in its constitution — which would prevent it from joining NATO or the European Union — and accepts Russia’s territorial demands, it will remain an “independent state that will live as it wants,” Peskov said.
Anatol Lieven, a fellow at the anti-interventionist Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, said in an interview with Democracy Now! that neutrality would likely benefit Ukraine. Finland and Austria, Lieven noted, maintained a similar status during the Cold War and remained free, prosperous, and democratic.
What would a Ukraine-Russia peace deal look like? @QuincyInst's @Lieven_Anatol says there's a possibility for peace if Ukraine declares neutrality and Russia withdraws its troops and doesn't attempt to dissolve Ukraine's military. pic.twitter.com/DaVjywJSoM— Democracy Now! (@democracynow) March 7, 2022
Peskov also said, “We really are finishing the demilitarization of Ukraine. We will finish it,” though he did not clarify what he meant by this and, according to ABC News, did not include it in Russia’s list of demands.
The Kremlin has announced its demands for ending the war in Ukraine:-Ukraine must change its constitution to guarantee it won't join any “blocs”, i.e. NATO + EU.-Must recognise Crimea as part of Russia.-Must recognise the eastern separatist regions as independent.— Patrick Reevell (@Reevellp) March 7, 2022
In response to Peskov’s vague comments about demilitarization, Lieven said any demand for “the abolition of the Ukrainian armed forces” would be a non-starter but that a ban on long-range missiles in Ukraine would be, in his view, an acceptable compromise.
Russian President Vladmir Putin’s stated war goals were originally to “demilitarize and de-Nazify” Ukraine, both of which implied installing a pro-Russian puppet regime in Kyiv and both of which he appears to have abandoned.
The Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights said Sunday that at least 364 civilians have been killed since the conflict began on Feb. 24. Ukrainian sources put the number at over 2,000.
Ukrainian sources also claim more than 11,000 Russian soldiers have been killed, though Russia has so far acknowledged fewer than 500 military deaths.

Read more
Live coverage – Ukraine’s Zelensky calls for EU membership

Live coverage – Ukraine’s Zelensky calls for EU membership

This post was originally published on this sitePresident Volodymyr Zelensky asked for Ukraine to be admitted to the European Union on Monday, the fifth day of Russia’s invasion of his nation.His request comes as delegations from Kyiv and the Kremlin meet near the border between Ukraine and…

Read more